Election Recap

I sent a letter to the Tribune today. I do not yet know if they will print it. Brevity is not my strength but it’s essential to have a chance in the paper. Below is my short attempt to recap the election, followed by what I would have liked to include.

The letter:

There is much to take away from the mid-term election results. Sure this was a rejection of Obama’s agenda and the Democrat party but it is not, as some pundits allege, an empty victory for the GOP. They won in key areas where they embraced candidates who espouse the principles that the tea parties advocate: fiscal responsibility, smaller government and respect for the Constitution. Quality candidates like Rand Paul won by large margins. Marco Rubio is a rising star.

Weak candidates lost. Christine O’Donnell was not ready for prime time but her embrace of tea party ideals was not her undoing. Some solid candidates lost close elections while being abandoned by the GOP organization. Sharron Angle put up a good fight but could not overcome the big union push for Harry Reid and the lack of support from her own party. Joe Miller may lose to write in candidate Lisa Murkowski after she lost the GOP primary. The party should have put a stop to that. They will lose control of their own primary system if they are not careful.

Like California, Illinois is late to the party. Public sector unions got out the vote for their Democrats. They know that the first step toward fiscal sanity is pension reform-so they fought it. They have delayed the inevitable. Chris Christie in New Jersey has noted that these same people will thank him some day. The current cuts may be painful but it is the only way to save the system. Illinois newcomers Joe Walsh and Adam Kinzinger are a great step in the new direction. There will be more.

The unaffiliated grass roots organizations are the driving force that is resulting in a new Republican party. They know that George Bush did not clamp down on spending and gave the Democrats an opening. The new GOP will restore fiscal restraint as a key plank. They know that respect for these core principles is what attracts the independents-not mushy moderation. America needs to take big steps forward. The Gop can lead the way.

If Chicago and greater Illinois voters don’t wrest control of their government from career hacks intent on continued borrowing they will face a certain future of departing businesses, higher unemployment and higher taxes at every turn.

End of letter.

The problems wasn’t / isn’t the tea parties-it’s the mainstream party’s inability to harness their energy and the unwillingness to hear the message.

The GOP organizations have treated the tea parties the way print journalists treat bloggers-like something you stepped in.

On election eve I ran into a neighbor who said she’d been hard at work “getting out the vote.” I told her I’d be attending some victory parties the next few days. She furrowed her brow. When I specified I’d be at the local Tea party post-election meeting she shook her head. “They’re just so extreme.” Her concern was evident. You’d think I’d just announced I was on heroin. There was more. She was insulting. I nipped it in the bud. I told her I didn’t appreciate her tone. “I’ve been there-you haven’t” I said. “What is extreme about stopping the deficits and upholding the Constitution?”

She came back with her talking points: two unfunded wars, TARP, stimulus, “tax cuts to the rich”…all of it verified by factcheck.org and the CBO. Never mind that one is a left wing outlet and the other is a typical government agency abused by politicians who know how to game the system. Their Obamacare math has already been exposed as fiction. I assured her I could produce data that showed lower tax RATES can and have produced increased revenue. Even JFK knew that. I noted that top rates had been 70% to 90% for most of the previous century. LINK

“What gives anyone, anywhere, at any time the right to take 70% of anybody’s anything?”

“Well maybe there’s people who need it more…” OK, I said, that’s socialism. There was no need to continue. In fact I knew it would be a complete waste of my time. That’s why I launched Center Debate, to have discussions among the open minded-not hard core leftists convinced that there is no other truth.

I attended the monthly Chicago tea party meeting last night (November 3). It  was a victory party. The guest speaker was Joel Pollack who lost to entrenched, uber liberal Jan Schakowsky in Chicago’s 9th Congressional district. I was SO IMPRESSED by Joel Pollack. He made a short classy speech and then took tough questions for an hour. Smart answers to each. This guy is ready. Now that Pelosi has been dethroned Jan and her flying monkeys can assume a more prominent position in the socialist party.

So what’s next? The various tea parties will continue to meet and work to promote better candidates. They’ll hand out pocket constitutions (an ongoing project here in Chicago). They will continue to influence the reshaping of the GOP.

The GOP needs to put an end to the left wing talking points of “tax cuts to the rich” and “the failed policies of George Bush”. The housing bubble was driven by liberal housing policy and government sponsored agencies like Fannie Mae. This scandal remains unaddressed.

The debate is about tax RATES-not tax cuts. There hasn’t been a tax cut in 7 years. They are not checks handed out. It’s not money that grows on the government tree. It’s OUR money and we get to decide how much we’ll give the government to cover constitutionally-appropriate shared services.

Karl Rove had W’s ear for all those years that he didn’t veto the spending increases, didn’t fight harder for GSE reform and didn’t take on the entitlement mess. We need strategists who can shape a message that these are the issues we need to face now or our very future is at stake.

Chris Christie is the model. Nobody does it better-but it is not un-learnable. Christie may be too early in his job as Governor to take the next step. Rubio hasn’t even been sworn in as Senator-yet and I see him as a future president. Only Obama would be allowed to skip a pay grade.

Pat Duggan

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Published in: on November 4, 2010 at 7:29 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Why I’ll Vote for Republicans This Time

I was raised by Democrats. Politics back then was dominated by Vietnam and Watergate. Nixon would become a perfect villain. I voted for many Democrats over the years but I no longer can. Like Reagan, I did not leave the Democrat party-they left me. When all 60 Democrat Senators voted in lockstep to begin the transformation of our health care system to a socialized model they revealed their true agenda for all to see. I will be voting exclusively for Republicans in this election and for the foreseeable future. I see reason to be optimistic about the party where not so long ago there was none.

Like many, I was not happy with the big spending of the Bush administration-but I knew the role of a Democrat-controlled Congress and had no illusions about what they’d do with Obama as President and potential super majorities. I was not a fan of John McCain and it frustrated me that the Illinois primary was rendered irrelevant. The GOP lost its way, elections, Congress and the White House. They have been slow to change. During the special elections and the primaries the old party establishment made poor decisions, throwing support to deeply flawed candidates. They are to blame for New York liberal Dede Scozzafava, who withdrew and endorsed a Democrat; Mike Castle who lost to long shot Christine O’Donnell and RINO poster boy Mark Kirk.

The Democrats were handed a golden opportunity and threw it away. Independents who were taken in by Obama’s vague slogans and centrist posing were shocked by the far left agenda pushed through after they took control. The atrocious health care bill was jammed through against the will of the majority. Obama’s apology tour was a disgrace. Americans know their history. They also know intuitively that pork barrel spending is not the solution, and calling it “stimulus” doesn’t change that.

The pendulum swing to the right is the result of once-again disillusioned voters running from the Democrat party, and the TEA party’s growing influence over the GOP. The core TEA party message is simple: We balance our budgets and expect Washington to do the same. It is a shot over the bow to both parties: if you don’t heed our message we will form a third party. The GOP is getting the message. The Democrats have attempted to distort the message and smear the messenger. It’s not working. Americans understand the TEA party and are insulted by Obama’s insinuations that we’re not thinking clearly and acting out of fear.

Americans are tired of career politicians who crow about their experience but can’t defend their sorry track record, our massive debt and the entitlement liabilities. The response is that more doctors and businessmen running, and leading in the polls. The battle cry is repeal of Obamacare and more. This is a push for a new GOP-not a replay of either Bush era. We want to end the era of permanent government programs. We are working to bring the GOP back to fundamental policies of free markets and small government. The TEA party is changing the political landscape the way the internet transformed media and Fox changed cable news.

As a Chicagoan I live in a city, county, and state controlled by Democrats. All are in debt and unable to make the tough decisions required to balance their budgets. Record high taxes are driving business to other states and we are hemorrhaging jobs. The incumbents have failed and deserve to be fired. This is not about which party has failed, they both have at times. This is more about the tax payers sending a strong rebuke to the political class and their cronies and regaining the power that the Constitution grants us. We will support the party that best represents those values. Right now the Republican party is our best bet. If they mishandle that responsibility then a full-fledged TEA party may emerge.

Pat Duggan

Published in: on November 1, 2010 at 9:38 am  Leave a Comment  
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The GOP’s Missed Opportunity

The election is a week away and the GOP is poised to grab a whole lot of seats. They will almost certainly seize a majority in the House and will draw close in the Senate. It would take a minor miracle to pull that off, but you never know.

So it appears that they have done well with a basic “We’re not them / we voted against Obamacare” strategy but what did they miss?

They missed a chance to set America straight on what really caused the market disruptions and the key role that liberal housing policy played. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and CRA are all scandals that need attention still. And yes, I wish they’d start quick enough to throw a wrench in the gears of the Rahm Emanuel campaign.

Will they take on this mission after the mid-terms? I suggest they do. If we don’t clarify the causes we will not be able to prevent more of the same.

Pat Duggan

Chicago Tribune Reader Endorsements

The Chicago Tribune endorsed Obama. Oops.

Now they are asking for our opinion.

I’m happy to help. 😉

LINK

Published in: on October 17, 2010 at 9:30 am  Leave a Comment  
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GOP Needs to Clarify Their Message

Yes, Republicans are going to win a lot of seats next month. They should take the House and have a decent chance of splitting the Senate. Even with 50 the RINO factor will dilute their power and Obama maintains the veto. Most importantly though, voters are rejecting Democrats more than they are embracing Republicans. Only to the extent that they follow through on TEA party planks and real fiscal restraint will they build momentum going into 2012.

The economy is still a mess. Unemployment is officially 9.6% but everyone understands that the real figure is much higher. Not only have Obama and the Democrats in congress not made this a priority, choosing to jam through a health care bill that a clear majority of Americans opposed, they’ve attempted to obfuscate their non-fix by inventing the ridiculous new talking point that claims they “saved or created” millions of jobs. This attempt to claim the un-measureable only further damages whatever credibility they have left. Voters are reminded that the Democrats’ default economic plan is always to raise taxes and grow government. This has never created a job and it never will.

FDR presided over a long depression. We have term limits because of him. Obama and the Democrats have embraced his failed theories with predictable results. Hammer that home and spell out the solution in short sound bite worthy terms. Free Enterprise and the American Dream.

Obamacare is being revealed to be a 2,000 page package of lies. If the GOP is not 100% committed to repeal of this mess expect the TEA party to abandon ship and launch a true third party. This would do certain short term damage to the GOP. Luckily the Democrat party is self destructing without the TEA party’s help.

The housing mess that is at the core of the ongoing economic crisis was decades in the making and is far from over. The congress could spend the bulk of the remainder of Obama’s first and final term investigating Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Community Reinvestment Act. If they started soon they might be able to derail Rahm Emanuel’s campaign for mayor Chicago. Last I checked there is no such plan. Foreclosures continue and prices are barely stabilizing.

The GOP needs to get on top of this now. The campaign for President in 2012 begins the day after the midterm elections. There is zero chance that the economy is going to recover in any significant way. The FED has short term interest rates at zero and holding. Their “quantitative easing” policy (printing money) is sure to result in a troublesome round of inflation as the gold market is now signaling. They’ve already deployed whatever weapons they have.

That is no substitute for pro-growth economic policy. The Republican Party needs a national campaign that will give voters a crash course in economics that will help them understand the role that liberal housing policy has played in distorting markets and causing the bubble that, when it popped, endangered the banking and economic system.

The solution is what has always worked before: low taxes and a government that gets out of the way and lets business people run their businesses without non-stop interference. The GOP lost their way and their identity. The party needs to circle the wagons and get everyone on the same page. Across the board spending cuts mean there are no sacred cows. Earmarks should be declared dead. Lastly, they need to tell the truth about social security. Chris Christie has shown that constituents can handle the truth. This is the best way to disarm the favorite Democrat TV commercials: “Joe Republican wants to take away your social security”.

The truth is that Congress took it long ago and spent it on bridges to nowhere. The party that tells the truth will be forgiven-sort of. The other one will bear the brunt of the blame. Democrats deserve to be the symbol of bankrupt entitlements. Help them take ownership of it.

Pat Duggan

Published in: on October 12, 2010 at 10:01 am  Leave a Comment  
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Tea Partiers are Ready for Their First Mid Term Election

Wednesday evening I attended the October monthly meeting of the Chicago Tea Party. Featured speakers were Isaac Hayes, the GOP nominee running against Jesse Jackson Jr. (or Senate candidate #5 in FBI reports on Blago’s attempted seat sale) and recent candidate for the Illinois GOP governor nomination, political commentator and radio fill-in Dan Proft. It was the usual lively event with a call for action in the final month approaching the midterm elections with lots of tight races among an expected overall GOP victory. Isaac is ready for congress despite the Chicago Tribune’s gutless “no endorsement” in that race. Dan Proft did a great job of explaining why we prefer the sometimes less polished candidates that agree with our principles and will vote for them over the slick insiders who only sell us out later.

There was various media in attendance including a videographer for CBS evening news. I heard the poor fellow confessing to the owner of host venue, Blackie’s in the south “Loop”, that he’d forgotten his headset and begging to borrow any kind of replacement. Maybe that is why the few seconds of tape that appeared on the Thursday evening news were accompanied only by a Katie Couric voice over and no interviews-all this despite his non-stop 2 hours plus of taping.

Naturally I Tivo’d and watched  the news cast. It is being promoted as an ongoing series on the final month of the campaign. They did their best to smear the TEA party movement and diminish their impact but I doubt it had any effect. Katie Couric’s numbers are at all time lows. LINK

They tried to jam a lot into their 2-3 minute segment. Lots of internal polls designed to show that TEA party activists are white, male, protestant and inclined to vote Republican anyway. This should come as no surprise. The GOP is hearing the message and embracing it. Despite some party insiders insisting on trotting out the same old RINO’s voters are nominating fresh blood. One poll question mirrored the one asked of the Chicago organizer Steve Stevlic: Would the economy have been better off if we allowed the banks to fail? In the interview the car companies were included. This is a transparent apology for bailout-Obamanomics. Sure the economy sucks but it could have been worse-right?

Overall I would describe the coverage as worthless / harmless. It was slanted but mostly just so superficial as to be a waste of viewers’ time. I guess that was their goal: don’t give the TEA party any unnecessary free PR.

In closing the “reporter” Dean Reynolds sighted one last poll that claimed only “22% of Americans view the movement favorably.”

This is nonsense. More than 50% support the TEA party to some degree and would vote for a candidate they support. LINK

The left is in full tantrum now. They have no rational response to a true grass roots effort that focuses on simple, key issues:

1.    Fiscal responsibility and balanced budgets, like every household and business manages through good and bad times.

2.    Lower spending that reverts back to constitutionally endorsed basics.

3.    Tax rates that are kept low to allow for free enterprise to flourish with a nod to the Laffer curve.

4.    Accountability in government: citizen legislators as opposed to career political hacks.

Two thirds of America supported Obama after his election despite only 53% voting for him. This shows the inherent optimism of the American people. They’re even good losers. Now two thirds don’t approve of the direction we’re heading. 80% don’t approve of congress. This is what feeds the TEA party with energy. This is not racism. These are the same people that knew government run health care was a bad idea when it was called “Hillarycare”. This is about economics. Only the desperate Democrats think these are racial issues.

Pat Duggan

This Guy is Brilliant

After all, he agrees with me. 🙂 The TEA party movement is about bigger things. The GOP organization, such as it is, and the professional commentators are in a snit because Delaware voters didn’t follow instructions. Maybe it’s because those prognosticators didn’t foresee / warn / prevent RINO poster boy McCain from seizing and then squandering the GOP presidential nomination leading us to this current predicament. Especially Michael Medved.

LINK

Published in: on September 22, 2010 at 10:32 pm  Leave a Comment  
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TEA Party Principles

Principles. The TEA party voters have them. Not every candidate is going to be as charismatic and polished as Marco Rubio. But the TEA party movement is consistent in their standards of rejection.

I continue to disagree with Karl Rove and Charles Krauthammer-not for their analysis, Christine O’Donnell has an uphill battle-but for their at-the-finish-line criticism of the TEA party for holding their ground. We would not be pondering a GOP senate majority if not for this grass roots movement, their rallies and their consistent message. To throw all that away at the finish line and throw our support behind a schmuck like Mike Castle would be throwing in the towel and cutting a deal with the devil. We would become those that we despise.

We may lose this battle but we will win the war. It is not the fault of the upstarts that the entrenched organizations couldn’t draft better candidates. The message being sent will echo as we are introduced to the next crop of primary candidates for the 2012 elections.

Despite the Scott Brown shock it was too late to draft better GOP challengers for this cycle. Illinois and the ridiculous Mark Kirk are proof. I’ll vote for him-and I would vote for Christine O’Donnell without hesitation. Just look at her opponent. Sure most of the people reading this post are more qualified for office than she is. Most of the people reading this post are more qualified to be president than Obama.

We do not always get to vote for people we like. In this election more than any other we are voting for policies-or against them. It has always been simple but now the voters are aware. Vote for free enterprise and small government or sink into a socialist hell.

The Union Label

Every day we read stories about public sector pensions; run-of-the-mill civil servants gaming the system to cash in sick days and then retire-at 50-on hugely inflated million(s) dollar pensions. Clueless administrations rubber stamp the deals. Public sector union fingerprints are everywhere and now that the pitchforks are coming out Democrat politicians, especially those running for reelection are being asked, “What are you going to do about this?” The answer? Crickets mostly.

Michael Barone has a great piece here on how this is fracturing the Democrat party. Good.

LINK

Unions ruined GM and now own it. The Democrats are going to find this old friendship to be an albatross around their neck, dragging them under as the TEA party tide rolls in.

Published in: on September 20, 2010 at 6:20 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Political Snobs

It has been truly amazing to see the political class throw a hissy fit over the recent election cycle and the TEA party influence. Elected officials, TV talking heads, radio hosts and print columnists of all stripes are struggling to wrap their heads around this phenomena. It seems the longer they’ve been around the harder it is for them to think outside a box they’ve occupied for decades. Watch how fast things change as we approach the November election. Karl Rove has quickly back pedaled from his nasty comments about Christine O’Donnell and now-of course-supports her.

I exchanged emails with Karl a while back after he wrote a piece predicting big gains for the GOP. His assessment of the GOP chances for grabbing 10 senate seats included gushing that “Mark Kirk is a strong candidate…” I pointed out that Kirk was a problem candidate as one of eight Republican house members that voted for “cap and trade” and that the TEA party voters would not rally behind him in the general election. He asked that I “honor the outcome of the GOP primary”-and I will. Now it appears he is taking his own advice after giving the Democrats some nifty soundbites for their mud slinging ads for their socialist candidate for Delaware Senator.

Allegedly conservative columnist Steve Chapman wastes our time once again in his regular column in the failing Chicago Tribune here: LINK

Here’s how he starts out:

“Here’s my first impression of the tea party movement: It’s a rabidly right-wing phenomenon with a shaky grasp of history, a strain of intolerance and xenophobia, a paranoia about Barack Obama, and an unhealthy reverence for Fox News. Any movement that doesn’t firmly exclude Birchers, birthers and Islamaphobes is not a movement for me.

Here’s my second impression of the tea party movement: We are lucky to have it.

That’s because the tea partiers, who may not all agree on gay marriage or birthright citizenship, are united behind a couple of sound goals: curtailing the cost of government and refusing to live at the expense of future generations.”

So he starts out with a slanderous generalization and then takes it back-sort of-by admitting to the more accurate description of their common threads. What a schmuck.

The TEA party resonates because it is real. It is grass roots. They balance their budgets-without taxing anyone-and expect their elected officials to do the same. When money is tight they might cut back on dining out, or vacations. The least our elected officials could do is not give “stimulus” money to a genital washing program in Africa. LINK

I’ve often said that any housewife could balance the federal budget because they do it everyday with less. Is it any wonder that women with seemingly meager qualifications are winning elections against the experienced candidates like Mike Castle who presided over the decades long creation of this mess?

We need common sense solutions to problems that the political class pretend are too complicated for anyone but them to solve. The  TEA party is a growing group of motivated voters set out to prove just that.

Pat Duggan

Published in: on September 16, 2010 at 2:30 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Election Recap

The Republican party is undergoing a TEA party transformation. Even in the face of long odds in the general election Delaware voters rejected the worthless RINO Mike Castle in favor of long shot conservative Christine O’Donnell. GOP voters are demanding better of their candidates and they are succeeding. They are throwing the bums out.

And the Democrats? Well they nominated scandal-ridden hack Charlie Rangel. Again. At age 80 he is the poster geezer for term limits. No principles at work here. Just business as usual. The steady destruction of that party from within continues apace.

It is not often I disagree with Charles Krauthammer-or Karl Rove-but this is not as simple as “nominate the best bet in the general election.” We are faced with a steady stream of imperfect candidates. The key question is:

If elected, can we count on their votes in the crucial issues regarding repeal of Obamacare, rejection of cap and trade, smaller government and free markets?

Christine O’Donnell is a reliable vote. Mark Kirk is not. Heck, John McCain is not, but there is no panic surrounding their candidacies.

It would be nice to capture the house and the senate and neuter Obama and his crew all at once but this is only a step in the process. November will be here soon and then we’ll have to focus on 2012-and a new president. Until then our congressional majorities will not be veto-proof under even the most optimistic scenarios. The message is being sent and even if Obama is too tone deaf to hear it, enough survival oriented Democrats are. They are not touting their health care bill-they are running away from it. Many are supporting extension of the Bush tax RATES (we do not call them tax cuts here-we haven’t had a tax cut in 7 years).

I saw Fred Barnes speak in early 2009 when things looked their darkest. The Dow was around 6700 and Al Franken was successfully stealing a senate seat. Obama was unveiling his agenda and seizing car companies to hand them to his union goons. Fred’s closing thought was a grasp for a silver lining. He said, “The one thing I’ve learned in all my years in Washington is that politics doesn’t go in a straight line.” I was reminded of that when Scott Brown won Ted Kennedy’s senate seat. The surprises never seem to end.

We have a long way to go but we are headed in the right direction.

Pat Duggan

Update: Comments are encouraged but the template for this blog renders them small and hard to find. I will update posts to include these comments from time to time.

Here is a comment from a loyal reader  and friend who considers herself a “centrist”:

“Christine O’Donnell a reliable vote?  The women whose claim to fame is promoting abstinence (SALT) and giggling her way through an interview that included “you can’t masturbate w/o lust and therefore should abstain from that as well”? Whose own campaign mgr said she spent campaign funds for living expenses and non campaign expenses?

Here is part of my reply:

As far as I know there will be no votes upcoming on abstinence programs. And I agree with you it’s a ridiculous notion. As I said we are faced with multiple “imperfect” candidates. Certainly Christine O’Donnell would not even make my long list of candidates. All that said, my point is that Republican voters are not just going to toe the party line and support despicable candidates like Mike Castle who voted for cap and trade, cash for clunkers, TARP (I actually support that plan-as it was first proposed), and many other issues where he voted with big government liberals. He voted for the light bulb ban! (that is my pet peeve). He defied his own state’s term limits rules by gaming the system in a “switch”. He deserved to be rejected. Losing to a lightweight like O’Donnell underscores the point. I think it highlighted the interesting debate within the party.

Christine O’Donnell may be a dipshit but she’s not the only one. Right here in Illinois we have our choice of dipshits for senate: Kirk or Gianoulias. The Mayoral race will spotlight several more. When I speak of a “reliable vote” I am talking about the big issues: repeal of Obamacare, cap and trade and tax rates. She can be counted on there. Castle proved he could not. Kirk promises to change his stripes. We’ll see.

Published in: on September 15, 2010 at 8:18 am  Comments (2)  
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Sarah Palin on a Hot Streak

Sarah Palin has had a great run in the recent primaries. The candidates she’s backed have all won. The knee jerk analysis has been that she wields great power. I disagree.

She has backed TEA party candidates. It is that message that resonates.

She has hitched her wagon to the winning team.

Rush Limbaugh has some great points here: LINK

Palin is being held to a different standard. Politics is full of hacks. I predicted the quick demise of the Democrat party momentum based purely on the predictable behavior of Pelosi, Reid, Frank, Dodd, and the indispensable Joe Biden.

The left will continue to attack her because she is a threat. She is polling very well. Those that attacked her are now getting a good look at the allegedly intelligent Obama; campaigner of 57 states; insulter of allies; apologist to the world. He has made the mistakes we knew he would with the economy: predictable reactions to a known crisis. All responses exactly wrong as we predicted based on 75 years of evidence that Keynesian economics is garbage. Then there is the slow, deliberate and still wrong responses to the unpredictable: the oil spill, the Christmas bomber and the Fort Hood Muslim terrorist. Seriously, has Obama done anything right?

Another view here: LINK

So Palin’s stock rises as Obama’s falls. The vindication is a redundancy.

As for her potential as a Presidential candidate however my view is unaffected. She has zero chance of becoming the next President. Sure, the left hates her, just as they’ll hate any true free market conservative. They prefer McCain types. Wishy washy RINO’s that they can manipulate. Some on the right love her-but not all. The middle is the problem. They rejected her before and do not wish to have to admit their mistake. There will be no second chance to make a first impression. The Katie Couric and Charlie Gibson gotcha smear jobs have stuck. She can flex her political muscles on Fox News and the speaking tour. I look forward to our first female President coming from the conservative grass roots. There are many to ponder: Michelle Bachman, Meg Whitman, Carly Fiorina and other lesser known names sure to come. Is there a young Jeane Kirkpatrick out there? An American Margaret Thatcher? Who will be our first black conservative president? I have no idea but I’m certain he or she will be big fans of Thomas Sowell and Walter Williams.

Dick Morris has a great analysis here: LINK on how the GOP can win the Senate this fall. Great stuff. What does not get mentioned though is that while we may win the Senate we’ll be getting there by adding the likes of Mark Kirk-a real idiot that will be all too likely to “reach across the aisle” like his mentor, RINO poster fossil John McCain. What compromises will they dream up instead of a full de-funding and repeal of Obamacare?

More election forecasting here: LINK

Pat Duggan

Election Forecasting

It’s not too early to start handicapping the 2012 Presidential election. Hell, here in Illinois we need to start thinking about 2016 and replacing our idiot Senator Kirk or Gianoulias (assuming the winner doesn’t get recalled /  impeached /  convicted).

My GOP candidate predictions:

NOT GOING TO BE ON TICKET:

Palin (damaged goods…will never get the center vote).

Giuliani (too bad, would do a great job but ran a poor campaign…if terrorism becomes top issue he could change course).

Romney (Massachusetts health care is a DISASTER….he refuses to admit the mistake and can’t run on repeal of Obamacare without it).

Huckabee (a tax and spend liberal in GOP clothing…TEA party will tear him apart).

Newt Gingrich (might be the smartest guy in the group but he’s a jerk…ego destroyed him right on heels of “Contract with America” victory…he appeared in a global warming ad with Nancy Pelosi).

Maybe:

Mitch Daniels ( a little bland and that is a big problem but his state is doing great due to his fiscal maneuvers).

Bobby Jindal (has charisma but shot himself in the foot with a horrible speech last year…he can overcome that with a great speech and did will with oil spill).

Bob McDonnell (Virginia governor has a lot to prove).

Haley Barbour (most GOP governors have a chance).

Paul Ryan (smart and well spoken but young…maybe next time or a VP).

Better:

Tim Pawlenty (not perfect but might have right combo of stances on issues and charisma).

Chris Christie (New Jersey governor is template for new era candidate…he is standing up to unions, refuses to raise taxes even on “millionaires” and instead of promising voters candy is telling them we all need to take harsh medicine to fix our problems-and they love him for it. He will need to explain why he can go presidential before finishing his first term. He is smart and a great speaker. He is also fat. Very fat. He should lose some weight and show he can stay healthy for a full term in office. Dems will be well advised not to make it an issue though.)

Lastly, GOP candidate needs a flawless VP running mate. I suggest Sen. Tom Coburn of Oklahoma.

Also keep an eye on Michelle Bachman…she is smart and charismatic and understands the power of TEA party and how their message resonates with independents who will provide the swing votes in future elections.

Dems may try to have Hillary challenge Obama. I hope so. I want that party to tear itself to shreds and rebuild without Barney Frank, Reid , Pelosi, Dodd, Durbin and myriad other bums.

Obama is toast. He fooled a lot of people by running as centrist with vague message. They now know what many of us knew 2 years ago: he is an America-hating socialist with sympathetic views toward radical Islam. He has insulted our allies, especially Britain and Israel while reaching out to enemies. 60 Dem senators voting for socialism via health care shows a party completely out of touch with American majority. GOP blew it under both Bushes with spending increases and expanded entitlements. They paid for it in last 2 elections, now Dems will suffer.  Growth of public sector unions with employees earning double private sector and bureaucrats retiring at 50 with huge six figure pensions will be a major issue going forward. Democrats own that scandal and will have to figure out how to win elections without giving the unions everything they want.

“Stimulus” is dead. Keynesian economics is dead. It didn’t work for FDR and it is a disaster now. Candidates from any party better get with the program.  The American has always done best with less government involvement.

Pat Duggan

Published in: on August 16, 2010 at 3:47 pm  Comments (1)  
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Stop Calling Them “Tax Cuts”

The GOP has bungled this situation for 10 years and running. This is about tax RATES and how high is too high. It appears that the GOP is not much better informed on economics than the Democrats. They got suckered into lowering tax rates back in the early Bush years with sunset provisions and now we have to vote for passage again with a hostile congress and a stubborn president without an economic clue.

This is one of the top reasons Michael Steele should be forced out. The GOP has a golden opportunity here to frame the debate in it’s proper terms: Optimal rates and the Laffer curve. The Democrats would have you believe that “tax cuts” are no different than welfare checks and are simply handed to wealthy folks that don’t need them. This is not about how the government spends money this is about where the government gets the money in the first place. Taxing top earners at punitive rates sucks the life blood out of the economy. The GOP has a chance to prove once and for all that the Laffer curve is not a “supply-side” theory, it is an economic truth.

They need to prepare now. Take the house in 2010 and the senate with a new President in 2012. Then gradually lower rates while holding the line on spending and watch the deficits turn to surpluses and showcase the results. The revenue gains from the Reagan and Bush tax reductions were obscured by spending increases. This is the time to take control and regain the title of fiscal responsibility.

Robert Tracinski of the Intellectual Activist reminds us of the toxic policies of the FDR era  in his latest missive, “And let me add that the Republicans of today are (with a few notable exceptions) more radical than the Republicans of 1946, back in the era when “me-too” was the official policy of the right. And that’s not to underestimate the achievement of the post-war Republicans, who did a lot to dismantle FDR’s sweeping wartime economic controls—which is what actually ended the Great Depression and ushered in the prosperity of the 1950s.

You can sign up for a free trial here: LINK

This is a battle of ideas. The GOP needs to prove they have a better idea and this is the way to do it.

Pat Duggan

Illinois Construction Strike

It is aggravating enough dealing with the poorly planned construction projects here in Illinois, now we have to tolerate a slowdown due to striking workers. They are making $50 to $68 per hour ($100K+ annual) and asking for more in a deep recession from a bankrupt state. This is what happens when necessary work is funneled through the government process and comes out the other end as a wasteful bloated mess. Our elected officials are blessing this malfeasance to but the union votes with our money.

Vote every single incumbent out now and every election going forward until this ends. Take care to be sure that when you throw the current bum out you are not replacing him / her with just another political hack who was waiting in the wings. The most important votes will continue to happen in the primaries. The last one produced hacks like Kirk and Gianoulias but we can still send the message this fall and in the future.

LINK

Pat Duggan with thanks to a friend for the story link.

Election Priorities and the Illinois Mess

There is not much to say about Mark Kirk. Anyone paying attention already knew that he was a phony and a typical politician; an opportunistic, flip-flopping RINO. The unanimous Democrat support for socialized health care in the Senate made our decision making process very clear: first we must vote out the Democrats for their disregard for the wishes of American voters, then remove all other incumbents of both parties as they were all complicit in creating the various components of our very big mess.

Our mission: Vote Kirk in to move us closer to a total repeal of Obamacare-then vote him out. It would be risky at best. Six years is a long time. Kirk was already not trustworthy. His “cap and trade” vote was inexcusable.

Now it has been revealed that Kirk lied and exaggerated his military record. Nice timing. In the wake of the Richard Blumenthal scandal this was already a hot topic. Both of them acted like weasels. Their actions were deplorable and showed poor character and judgment and their pathetic attempts to explain it all away showed an utter lack of class. We can thank Bill Clinton for making this an art form. Do these jerks know what it means to “take responsibility”? Clearly not. Real apologies do NOT include these phrases: ” I regret…” or “I am sorry if you were offended…”. Real apologies are simple and straightforward: I am sorry for what I did; I messed up; I resign; I am dropping out of the race.

What next? In a perfect world Kirk would drop from the race. This is not going to happen. The Illinois Republican party is too weak and disorganized to handle the choosing of a replacement candidate. Their last botched attempt brought us the ridiculous Alan Keyes and resulted in the election of Barack Obama. Thanks. Maybe the Democrats would agree to a “do over” so they could jettison their own wounded idiot Alexi Gianoulias? Wishful thinking.

So where are we now” ? The latest Rasmussen poll (HERE) shows Kirk leading 42% to 39%. This will be a bad summer for Democrats, especially in Illinois with the Blago trial. Gianoulias is a smarmy hack with odious connections to the corrupt organization that put Blago in office and laughingstock Roland Burris in the US Senate. Kirk can win. I will hold my nose and vote for him. I promised Karl Rove I would.

Kirk should handle this mess one last time. I suggest:

“Here is exactly what I did in the military. Anything else is retracted and I apologize for it. I take responsibility for all errors. I am not blaming my staff. Now let’s move on to the issues. As a Republican Senator I will support and vote for the full repeal of Obamacare and will work with the Republican party for fiscal responsibility and the repair of this economy. I will will work to move us back in the right direction which means moving back to a free market economy with minimal, sensible regulation and away from bailouts and cronyism. We have a a serious and mounting debt problem and the current administration and congress are making it worse. I hear the TEA party supporters loud and clear and I will demand that our government balance its budget as every business and household in this great nation already do.”

Vote him in-then vote him out. Hold his feet to the fire for his entire six years. This guy needs supervision.

Pat Duggan

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